Abstract:
Background Reliable diagnostic criteria for atopic eczema (AE) are essential in order
to make international comparisons and to identify possible disease risk factors.
Little is known about the prevalence of atopic eczema and validity of diagnostic
criteria for AE in developing countries where English is not the first language.
Objectives We sought to determine the prevalence of AE in an area of urban and
rural Ethiopia, and to compare the predictive values of different questionnaire
and examination methods for diagnosing AE in this population.
Methods We conducted a cross-sectional survey of 7915 children aged 1–5 years
living in and around the town of Jimma in southwest Ethiopia. AE prevalence
was assessed in two ways: (i) by using the International Study for Asthma and
Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) questionnaire, and (ii) using the U.K. refinement
of Hanifin and Rajka’s diagnostic criteria. All possible cases identified by screening questions and random samples of controls were then examined by an experienced local paediatrician, who acted as a reference standard to determine the
predictive value of the criteria used to diagnose AE.
Results The overall 1-year period prevalence of AE according to ISAAC and U.K.
criteria was 4Æ4% [95% confidence interval (CI) 3Æ95–4Æ85] and 1Æ8% (95% CI
1Æ5–2Æ1), respectively. Corresponding point prevalence estimates (symptoms in
the last week) were 1Æ8% for ISAAC and 1Æ3% for the U.K. criteria. The positive
predictive values of the ISAAC and U.K. criteria questions for AE symptoms still
reported to be present (in the last week) at the doctor’s examination were 48Æ8%
and 55Æ5%, respectively. Corresponding negative predictive values were 90Æ5%
and 90Æ1%, respectively. The sign of visible flexural dermatitis (a component of
the U.K. criteria) when used alone had positive and negative predictive values of
57% and 91%, respectively.
Conclusions Neither the ISAAC nor U.K. criteria performed especially well in predicting cases of AE in this survey. Possible reasons include problems with questionnaire translation, cultural conceptions of terminology, asking parents rather
than the child about symptoms, the transient nature of AE signs, and differences
in what a doctor perceives to constitute a typical case of AE. The results do not
preclude the use of standardized diagnostic criteria alongside a doctor’s examination in future surveys of Ethiopian children, and knowledge of the criteria’s limited predictive value should help to interpret study findings that have employed
such criteria. Consideration should be given to adopting the sign of visible flexural dermatitis as a standard for estimating the point prevalence of AE throughout
the world because it is less susceptible to problems with translation and interpretation.