Abstract:
Soil erosion is one of the major environmental and economic crisis of the glob, due to its impacts
on agricultural productivity, food security and reservoir sedimentations. Now a day, Land Use
Land Cover (LULC) changes are considered as one of the major factors responsible for the soil
erosion propagation. Assessment of LULC change impacts on soil erosion is vital for
stakeholders to plan sustainable water resource management in the future. The aim of this study
is to assess LULC change impact on soil erosion condition of Gojeb River catchment using
Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) and Arc GIS tool. For this assessment, data such
as Digital Elevation Model (DEM), soil type, rainfall and LULC data were used. To quantify
annual average soil erosion of the study area six RUSLE model parameters: rainfall erosivity
(R-factor), soil erodibility (K-factor), slope steepness and slope length (LS-factor), cover
management (C-factor), support and conservation practice (P-factor) were used. Evaluation of
LULC change impacts on soil erosion is conducted after classification of satellite image for the
years 2000, 2010 and 2020 downloaded from United State Geological Survey (USGS) produced
by Landsat 4-5, Thematic mapper (TM), Landsat 7, Enhanced Thematic Mapper (ETM+)
imagery and Landsat 8, Operational Land Imagery Thermal Infrared Sensor (OLI-TIRS)
respectively. In this study, the LULC classification of the year 2020 was checked for its
classification accuracy and found to be acceptable (84.1%). The future LULC for the year 2030
was predicted using QGIS, MOLUSCE Plugin and the change of LULC between the years 2020
and 2030 and the corresponding soil erosion condition was evaluated. Based on the result, the
current average annual soil loss in year 2020 is 25.3 t ha-1
yr-1 with 16.8 million tons of soil
erosion. Whereas, the predicted average annual soil loss in year 2030 is 27.45 t ha-1
yr-1 which is
18.3 million tons of soil erosion for the entire study area. The result showed that the area of
cultivated land is significantly increased from 26.34% in 2020 to 30.29% in 2030, dense forest
was decreased from 27.69% in years 2020 to 25.04% in 2030 and open forest was decreased
from 26.19% in years 2020 to 24.93% in 2030. LULC changes between the years 2020 and 2030
that is; increase in cultivated land, decrease in forestland in general it is directly related with
agricultural land expansion and forest cover decline. This study result highlights the need of
appropriate land use land cover management practice from stakeholders in the watershed
